Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea988405e5e3efae98c4f06b5b75fa53632877924f522e916cda357fdfc2f165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 5c | 5,602$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.58 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 4c | 3,830$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.73 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 2c | 2,560$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 9c | 2,440$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.79 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 13c | 1,224$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.93 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 13c | 1,040$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.46 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 1c | 992.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 12c | 898.49$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 3c | 851.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 12c | 652.77$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 9c | 560.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 7c | 476.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 13c | 471.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 12c | 415.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 13c | 410.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 9c | 332.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 9c | 330.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 11c | 309.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 9c | 298.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 9c | 298.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 9c | 295.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 9c | 277.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 9c | 166.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 9c | 166.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 9c | 166.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 9c | 166.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 9c | 166.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 9c | 166.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 9c | 166.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 9c | 164$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 13c | 133.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 13c | 76.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.