TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Prague 2: Oleksii Krutykh vs Daniel Siniakov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oleksii Krutykhof Oleksii Krutykh, Daniel Siniakov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,760 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Daniel Siniakov3c12,633$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.718,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Daniel Siniakov3c8,028$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.02468.7%4 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick6cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Oleksii Krutykh66c6,171$4,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.7663447.9%304 W · 330 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Siniakov34c3,306$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.311,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Siniakov8c3,115$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.028,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Daniel Siniakov4c1,351$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029953.5%160 W · 139 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Daniel Siniakov8c669.97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.313531.1%42 W · 93 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Daniel Siniakov34c634.66$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151,56340%625 W · 938 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Daniel Siniakov38c566.15$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.5615532.9%51 W · 104 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Daniel Siniakov17c499.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8545251.5%233 W · 219 L-21.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Daniel Siniakov2c493$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3421117.5%37 W · 174 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Oleksii Krutykh80c466.85$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1780558.6%472 W · 333 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Oleksii Krutykh62c421.5$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.491,54551.5%795 W · 750 L+5.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Daniel Siniakov3c349.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8185741.7%357 W · 500 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Daniel Siniakov36c343$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.481,35438.3%518 W · 836 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Daniel Siniakov4c301.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6342546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbc7b…c4ebbacked Daniel Siniakov7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208810.2%9 W · 79 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Oleksii Krutykh63c282.84$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.651,84244.8%825 W · 1,017 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf65e…e5e6backed Oleksii Krutykh58c270.69$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.695660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Siniakov16c244.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.88,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Daniel Siniakov34c240.05$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7548947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Oleksii Krutykh65c237$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.951,31843.6%574 W · 744 L-23.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Daniel Siniakov38c222.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7459738.2%228 W · 369 L-27.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb38d…6735backed Daniel Siniakov32c206.97$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.68741.4%36 W · 51 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Daniel Siniakov34c203.83$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.36,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Daniel Siniakov16c161.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.822,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Daniel Siniakov19c151$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.921,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Daniel Siniakov36c140.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.493928.2%11 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Daniel Siniakov36c135.87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.491,00154.9%550 W · 451 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a8…e802backed Daniel Siniakov37c129.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4836342.1%153 W · 210 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8468…3860backed Daniel Siniakov17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023831.5%75 W · 163 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Oleksii Krutykh71c64.84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.481,25238.8%486 W · 766 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7b…f972backed Daniel Siniakov39c64.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511640.5%47 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Daniel Siniakov37c55.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.555,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Oleksii Krutykh63c55.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3229968.9%206 W · 93 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Oleksii Krutykh62c50.11$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.041,41855%780 W · 638 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Oleksii Krutykh63c48.74$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.043,80945.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L-35.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Oleksii Krutykh63c48.57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.967745.6%309 W · 368 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Daniel Siniakov37c46.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1225042.4%106 W · 144 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Daniel Siniakov35c33.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.583,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Oleksii Krutykh63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11,23265.4%806 W · 426 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Daniel Siniakov39c26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.142,44235.8%874 W · 1,568 L-29.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Oleksii Krutykh64c25.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3720457.4%117 W · 87 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Oleksii Krutykh65c24.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.432659.2%193 W · 133 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5e8…0a19backed Oleksii Krutykh64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.443767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf437…d954backed Oleksii Krutykh68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Oleksii Krutykh62c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8426764.8%173 W · 94 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.