TailMyPicks
Market

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,403

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,371 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Boston Red Sox50c55,555$27,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,777.51,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels50c15,651$7,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,795.563,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Boston Red Sox50c12,713$6,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,390.7644851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Boston Red Sox50c10,902$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,401.9661351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Los Angeles Angels50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00036246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Los Angeles Angels50c9,950$4,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9758733.3%29 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0da…1f80backed Los Angeles Angels53c8,888$4,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,710.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-67.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Los Angeles Angels50c6,642$3,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,32123738%90 W · 147 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels50c6,062$3,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0316,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Los Angeles Angels50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00079247.5%376 W · 416 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels50c3,390$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.7711,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.481,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels50c2,812$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.855,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Boston Red Sox49c2,125$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.5644749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Los Angeles Angels41c2,120$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.157642.1%32 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Angels52c2,012$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.572,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Los Angeles Angels50c2,005$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.3892645.9%425 W · 501 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Los Angeles Angels51c1,800$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91857753.2%307 W · 270 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Angels50c1,078$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.222,58861.5%1,591 W · 997 L+72.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Los Angeles Angels50c981.1$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.551,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Los Angeles Angels50c980.68$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.3497050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Boston Red Sox48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3343153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Los Angeles Angels50c825.12$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.5648150.7%244 W · 237 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Los Angeles Angels50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox73c625.86$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8412,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Los Angeles Angels50c588.48$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.241,73749.1%852 W · 885 L+7.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Los Angeles Angels51c555$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.054452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Los Angeles Angels50c531.36$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.6810438.5%40 W · 64 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Los Angeles Angels50c531.36$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.689339.8%37 W · 56 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Angels49c519.99$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.031,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Angels50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Angels50c422$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.632,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels50c401.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.556,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bfd…fb46backed Los Angeles Angels50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels31c303$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.628,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5231…4907backed Boston Red Sox49c255.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.14459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Los Angeles Angels50c238.38$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.191,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Los Angeles Angels24c227$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.991,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Boston Red Sox50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Los Angeles Angels50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041048.3%198 W · 212 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Boston Red Sox74c192.24$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.044,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Angels50c191$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.53,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Angels50c179.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.82,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Boston Red Sox50c175.65$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9745358.7%266 W · 187 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Los Angeles Angels50c151.56$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7824657.3%141 W · 105 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels43c134.54$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4410,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Angels50c134.06$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.032,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Boston Red Sox67c102.04$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3411535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Angels50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2208…53eebacked Boston Red Sox50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Los Angeles Angels49c99.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9999947.5%475 W · 524 L-3.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Los Angeles Angels50c99.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9216850.6%85 W · 83 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Los Angeles Angels34c98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0931848.7%155 W · 163 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Boston Red Sox47c89.62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.521252.4%111 W · 101 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox70c83.51$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.054,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Los Angeles Angels50c82.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3118347%86 W · 97 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Los Angeles Angels49c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5473849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox48c77.34$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.238,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked Boston Red Sox56c71.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.529761.9%60 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Boston Red Sox48c62.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.121,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc29f…dc4ebacked Los Angeles Angels50c60.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.318545.9%39 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Los Angeles Angels50c60.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3135149.3%173 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Boston Red Sox66c56.29$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.011,81949.3%896 W · 923 L-24.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox61c55.62$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.688,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5afc…2995backed Los Angeles Angels50c53.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Boston Red Sox47c53.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4420654.4%112 W · 94 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59ab…18c6backed Boston Red Sox49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0211151.4%57 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Boston Red Sox50c49.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7153644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0098…71e0backed Los Angeles Angels50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2515252%79 W · 73 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c9e…fd82backed Boston Red Sox51c43.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.147047.1%33 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Boston Red Sox49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8226940.5%109 W · 160 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Los Angeles Angels30c39.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.742,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Los Angeles Angels50c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1924742.9%106 W · 141 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Los Angeles Angels51c35.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3639250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Angels52c35.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.372,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a3…d760backed Boston Red Sox48c35.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4224644.7%110 W · 136 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Boston Red Sox64c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Los Angeles Angels52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0352852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe3…6872backed Boston Red Sox49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.613847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfde5…95c0backed Los Angeles Angels50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Boston Red Sox60c25.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2121852.8%115 W · 103 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Los Angeles Angels53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2563943.3%277 W · 362 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Los Angeles Angels45c24.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.119543.2%41 W · 54 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Boston Red Sox49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4929256.5%165 W · 127 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca75…c217backed Los Angeles Angels53c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.111662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c30…34f5backed Boston Red Sox62c22.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.72661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb224…dfa6backed Los Angeles Angels50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Boston Red Sox71c19.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7524448.8%119 W · 125 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.