CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec2aca7d404d574b8688fd8a9d1f895e9949cacb064830cb2b2ad37de25bae61

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Favbetof Favbet, Ursa
Resolved: May 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $15,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $18,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,965 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Favbet	59c	1,987$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819.67	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked Ursa	55c	1,002$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Ursa	46c	864$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.82	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Favbet	60c	611.6$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.18	217	37.3%81 W · 136 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Favbet	66c	596.79$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.6	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Ursa	16c	579$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.64	946	45.8%433 W · 513 L	+18.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Favbet	67c	578.65$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.18	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Ursa	38c	557.9$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.68	468	43.4%203 W · 265 L	-11.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Favbet	80c	520.12$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.25	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Favbet	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	500	43%215 W · 285 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Ursa	28c	499.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Ursa	31c	439$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.26	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c0…ae83backed Favbet	70c	427.1$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.1	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	73cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Ursa	29c	411.27$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.55	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-17.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Ursa	33c	402.85$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.73	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Ursa	12c	400$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	300	31.7%95 W · 205 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Ursa	34c	375.08$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.63	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Favbet	49c	334.92$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.81	1,411	33.7%475 W · 936 L	+42.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Favbet	59c	333.54$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.88	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Ursa	38c	323.55$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.31	780	43.7%341 W · 439 L	-21.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Ursa	23c	311.3$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.43	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Ursa	13c	290.42$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.71	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Ursa	51c	261.72$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.3	157	47.1%74 W · 83 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Favbet	49c	215.81$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.61	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Ursa	38c	208.21$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.69	664	46.4%308 W · 356 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Ursa	33c	204.09$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.08	250	42.8%107 W · 143 L	-9.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf11a…1002backed Ursa	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	278	48.6%135 W · 143 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Ursa	57c	175.15$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.38	193	29%56 W · 137 L	-23.4wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Favbet	55c	169.99$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.34	1,485	58%862 W · 623 L	+66.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Ursa	33c	161.79$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.67	789	63.8%503 W · 286 L	-2.5wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Ursa	11c	145.54$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.91	1,547	33.9%524 W · 1,023 L	-73.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Ursa	22c	129.56$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.9	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa	18c	128.08$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.63	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Favbet	71c	110$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.71	2,061	50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Ursa	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	916	48.9%448 W · 468 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Ursa	52c	95.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.72	1,620	52.7%853 W · 767 L	+57.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Favbet	59c	92.4$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.89	1,003	55.7%559 W · 444 L	+24.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Ursa	56c	89.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	309	51.5%159 W · 150 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Ursa	21c	81.69$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.15	1,398	48.4%676 W · 722 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ursa	40c	80.47$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0d5…9727backed Favbet	47c	79.34$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.05	174	38.5%67 W · 107 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda51…ef7fbacked Favbet	80c	62.2$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.49	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Ursa	50c	58$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Ursa	34c	55.88$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Favbet	40c	54.73$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.84	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Ursa	42c	49.74$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.89	378	41.8%158 W · 220 L	-33.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e73…c4c2backed Ursa	23c	48$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+53.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…0436backed Favbet	68c	44.12$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.12	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…44efbacked Favbet	48c	40.94$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.39	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Ursa	34c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	202	58.9%119 W · 83 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f1…1972backed Ursa	30c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Favbet	69c	35.71$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.91	231	50.6%117 W · 114 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ursa	31c	34.19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.63	2,102	16.8%353 W · 1,749 L	-286.5wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Ursa	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	557	49.7%277 W · 280 L	-12.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08db…296fbacked Favbet	76c	28.13$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.72	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Favbet	73c	27.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	1,046	45%471 W · 575 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Favbet	73c	27.47$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.49	965	43.5%420 W · 545 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ursa	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Ursa	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	812	46.2%375 W · 437 L	-35.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe245…3bc8backed Ursa	53c	18.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.06	217	56.7%123 W · 94 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagethis page
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Ursa - Map 1 WinnerFavbet won
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerFavbet won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event