MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec934637a9002536c323a46e5a236840462bbf5f94b92fddcdc579147ac45317
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Chicago White Sox, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 5,034$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,674.89 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago White Sox | 29c | 2,028$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.16 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 1,472$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.84 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Chicago White Sox | 29c | 1,054$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.08 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Chicago White Sox | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Chicago White Sox | 65c | 667.42$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.3 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Chicago White Sox | 20c | 641.41$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.56 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Boston Red Sox | 70c | 445.95$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.17 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Chicago White Sox | 71c | 427.78$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.61 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Boston Red Sox | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Boston Red Sox | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 221.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…7d83backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 44.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Chicago White Sox | 28c | 37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Boston Red Sox | 72c | 31.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 30.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…dfb0backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Boston Red Sox | 72c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Boston Red Sox | 73c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 15.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.