Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Alabama Jaguars vs. James Madison Dukes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeca092f826e46d78f003e652cdeb3f28ab03f05d113bdf7ce0f9633cc782060b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Alabama Jaguarsof South Alabama Jaguars, James Madison Dukes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked James Madison Dukes | 61c | 1,205$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.05 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked James Madison Dukes | 40c | 1,104$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed James Madison Dukes | 40c | 1,050$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.49 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed James Madison Dukes | 61c | 1,044$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.84 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed South Alabama Jaguars | 39c | 951.79$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.59 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 31c | 862.14$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.03 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked James Madison Dukes | 66c | 483.84$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.17 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked James Madison Dukes | 61c | 373.71$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed James Madison Dukes | 64c | 264.15$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed South Alabama Jaguars | 42c | 255$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.9 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked James Madison Dukes | 47c | 235.17$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed James Madison Dukes | 61c | 200.24$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed James Madison Dukes | 61c | 176.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 35c | 168.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed South Alabama Jaguars | 58c | 158.44$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Alabama Jaguars | 35c | 158.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed James Madison Dukes | 68c | 144.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 36c | 109.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.12 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked South Alabama Jaguars | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed James Madison Dukes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed South Alabama Jaguars | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked James Madison Dukes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fd…4d74backed South Alabama Jaguars | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +312.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…4d28backed James Madison Dukes | 59c | 60.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked James Madison Dukes | 61c | 57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…22e4backed South Alabama Jaguars | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed South Alabama Jaguars | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed South Alabama Jaguars | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked James Madison Dukes | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed James Madison Dukes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed South Alabama Jaguars | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked South Alabama Jaguars | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed South Alabama Jaguars | 39c | 46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed James Madison Dukes | 61c | 43.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed James Madison Dukes | 60c | 32.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 67c | 32.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed South Alabama Jaguars | 38c | 30.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed South Alabama Jaguars | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed James Madison Dukes | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked James Madison Dukes | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…9055backed James Madison Dukes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked James Madison Dukes | 55c | 18.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…e8d7backed James Madison Dukes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -7.3wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed James Madison Dukes | 67c | 15.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. James Madison Dukesthis page
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. James Madison Dukes: O/U 139.5Over won
- Spread: James Madison Dukes (-4.5)South Alabama Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.