MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xece697efbd2a9de3049a56d791811fa16d4af677bc6a09c018be29e7e19bdeab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof Kia Tigers, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Kia Tigers | 18c | 963.62$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 79c | 629.18$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.17 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 599.91$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.96 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed KT Wiz | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 327.68$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.07 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 65c | 297.79$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Kia Tigers | 32c | 261.64$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 199.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked KT Wiz | 60c | 195.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KT Wiz | 59c | 174.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed KT Wiz | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Kia Tigers | 47c | 160.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Kia Tigers | 9c | 150.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 149.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 135.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed KT Wiz | 62c | 108.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked KT Wiz | 57c | 101.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Kia Tigers | 66c | 96.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KT Wiz | 59c | 86.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Kia Tigers | 31c | 85.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed KT Wiz | 59c | 83.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Kia Tigers | 24c | 73.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed KT Wiz | 67c | 68.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed KT Wiz | 58c | 67.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Kia Tigers | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed KT Wiz | 52c | 59.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 58.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed KT Wiz | 57c | 54.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed KT Wiz | 42c | 53.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed KT Wiz | 42c | 53.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…b845backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 51.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed KT Wiz | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…52bfbacked KT Wiz | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kia Tigers | 23c | 47.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed KT Wiz | 64c | 46.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed KT Wiz | 58c | 41.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KT Wiz | 50c | 40.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked KT Wiz | 58c | 40.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked KT Wiz | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KT Wiz | 68c | 37.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 34.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed KT Wiz | 48c | 30.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kia Tigers | 35c | 30.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed KT Wiz | 67c | 29.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kia Tigers | 46c | 24.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed KT Wiz | 55c | 22.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked KT Wiz | 61c | 19.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 18.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…3fa9backed KT Wiz | 58c | 17.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.