Tennis · resolved market
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Davidovich Fokina vs. Fritz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedc2ee71d0ad8077b904250b9a292537c852e1a342cd8db27759ee609168b420
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritz of Fokina, Fritz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Fritz | 73c | 9,799$7,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.64 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Fokina | 27c | 9,535$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.55 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked Fritz | 66c | 6,015$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.25 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Fokina | 34c | 4,149$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.34 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Fokina | 33c | 2,947$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.1 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Fokina | 19c | 2,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fritz | 71c | 1,986$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.74 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Fokina | 29c | 1,813$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Fokina | 26c | 1,720$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.86 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Fritz | 67c | 1,309$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.92 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed Fokina | 21c | 1,096$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.24 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fritz | 70c | 1,014$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.44 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Fritz | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Fokina | 39c | 832.52$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.68 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Fritz | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Fokina | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Fritz | 71c | 739.66$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Fokina | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…d312backed Fokina | 14c | 600$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Fokina | 11c | 490.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Fokina | 16c | 353.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Fokina | 31c | 318.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Fokina | 23c | 310$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…8b01backed Fritz | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…f2d8backed Fritz | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Fokina | 35c | 192$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Fokina | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Fokina | 28c | 143$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Fritz | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…2248backed Fritz | 65c | 109.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Fokina | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Fritz | 73c | 77.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Fritz | 71c | 70.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Fritz | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Fokina | 29c | 58.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Fritz | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Fokina | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Fokina | 31c | 48.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Fokina | 23c | 45.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Fritz | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Fritz | 69c | 41.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Fokina | 28c | 41.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Fokina | 27c | 40.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d4…f1e4backed Fritz | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.