MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedf70601a8c4f2ea8ff5001474e76d70b61a9a8fc36bd4c91962d5d581a19d70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Rangers, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 69c | 5,118$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Rangers | 43c | 4,814$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.03 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rays | 57c | 3,333$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.19 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rays | 58c | 2,141$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.31 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Rays | 58c | 1,155$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.1 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers | 28c | 1,078$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Rangers | 21c | 1,016$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.3 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rangers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rangers | 42c | 988$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.96 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…4e9bbacked Rangers | 42c | 930.23$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays | 56c | 899.86$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.94 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Rangers | 2c | 749.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rangers | 42c | 718.46$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.75 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rangers | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Rangers | 34c | 671.15$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.39 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rangers | 25c | 603.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Rangers | 35c | 524.84$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.89 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Rangers | 7c | 505.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Rangers | 43c | 487.92$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.81 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rangers | 42c | 449.16$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.65 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ac…054abacked Rangers | 43c | 406.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 57c | 395.35$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.91 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Rays | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Rangers | 6c | 336$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Rangers | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…0d0dbacked Rangers | 43c | 260.07$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rangers | 44c | 231.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Rangers | 42c | 220.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers | 42c | 205.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rays | 73c | 163.66$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Rays | 58c | 129.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Rangers | 42c | 115$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Rays | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rays | 58c | 102$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rays | 58c | 93.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers | 43c | 89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rays | 73c | 80.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Rangers | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Rangers | 43c | 79.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 62c | 63.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b8…a992backed Rays | 57c | 48.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…d527backed Rangers | 45c | 48.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…038bbacked Rangers | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e3…d3c7backed Rays | 75c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Rangers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked Rangers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rangers | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rays | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 58c | 40.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…6550backed Rays | 58c | 40.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0e…551ebacked Rangers | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…1859backed Rays | 58c | 34.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Rangers | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rangers | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaeb…1506backed Rangers | 44c | 28.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Rays | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 58c | 19.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.