MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeabd7853f39dcfb2d0e3a041615a2b313c7437860cff9b6b6f51f0264da627c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Boston Red Sox, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,670 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 3,247$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.05 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 2,703$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.3 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 1,662$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.72 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 1,192$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 988$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.96 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 729.07$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.56 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 710.43$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.67 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 628.27$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.81 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 480.7$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 401.36$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.56 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 72c | 360.1$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 355.72$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.85 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 338.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.83 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 216$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.88 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Boston Red Sox | 39c | 201.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 201$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0606…1d57backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 195$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Boston Red Sox | 15c | 175.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Boston Red Sox | 28c | 154.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 144.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Boston Red Sox | 32c | 134.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 131.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 121.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 119.21$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 114$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Boston Red Sox | 26c | 110.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 109$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 107.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 107.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 68.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 66.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 66.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 64.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Boston Red Sox | 30c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Boston Red Sox | 25c | 45.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Boston Red Sox | 30c | 45.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 37.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 34.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 32.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Boston Red Sox | 36c | 27.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.