Tennis · resolved market
Royan: Cosme de Ravel vs Raphael Perot
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef25f92c9a37b5d9e8029471454d9145d4a6f9a5c1e25a1b0596a54491cf4096
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cosme de Ravelof Cosme de Ravel, Raphael Perot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raphael Perot | 22c | 3,058$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.69 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Raphael Perot | 16c | 2,000$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.38 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Raphael Perot | 51c | 1,989$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.5 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cosme de Ravel | 76c | 1,868$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.4 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cosme de Ravel | 65c | 1,786$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.79 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cosme de Ravel | 62c | 1,785$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.83 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cosme de Ravel | 63c | 1,746$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.3 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Raphael Perot | 20c | 1,626$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.44 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Raphael Perot | 56c | 1,575$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.11 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Raphael Perot | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Raphael Perot | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Cosme de Ravel | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.2 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cosme de Ravel | 79c | 541.84$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.84 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cosme de Ravel | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Cosme de Ravel | 80c | 498.07$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.86 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Raphael Perot | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Raphael Perot | 56c | 353.82$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.14 | 254 | 37%94 W · 160 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Raphael Perot | 22c | 316$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Raphael Perot | 55c | 305.65$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.8 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Cosme de Ravel | 74c | 284.86$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.61 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Raphael Perot | 20c | 269.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Cosme de Ravel | 76c | 266.28$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Cosme de Ravel | 37c | 241.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Cosme de Ravel | 45c | 240.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.15 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Cosme de Ravel | 75c | 236.88$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cosme de Ravel | 44c | 225.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.12 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Raphael Perot | 43c | 181.59$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Raphael Perot | 18c | 180.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 694 | 29.8%207 W · 487 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Cosme de Ravel | 45c | 173.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Raphael Perot | 18c | 168.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Raphael Perot | 21c | 167.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Cosme de Ravel | 53c | 166.25$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Raphael Perot | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Cosme de Ravel | 74c | 133.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed Raphael Perot | 56c | 131.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Raphael Perot | 33c | 129.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cosme de Ravel | 45c | 124.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…f4c3backed Raphael Perot | 47c | 106.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Cosme de Ravel | 45c | 103.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Cosme de Ravel | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Raphael Perot | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c6…737abacked Cosme de Ravel | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -25.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Raphael Perot | 26c | 75.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Raphael Perot | 24c | 71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Cosme de Ravel | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Cosme de Ravel | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Cosme de Ravel | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Raphael Perot | 54c | 40.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 478 | 51.5%246 W · 232 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Cosme de Ravel | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Cosme de Ravel | 53c | 37.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Cosme de Ravel | 74c | 37.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…128abacked Raphael Perot | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 70.7%104 W · 43 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Raphael Perot | 55c | 34.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Cosme de Ravel | 60c | 31.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Cosme de Ravel | 46c | 30.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Raphael Perot | 54c | 23.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Raphael Perot | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 197 | 61.4%121 W · 76 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked Raphael Perot | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.