MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef95f18abb98f39fd703a9dd056659e4a483a3046081d344627db3bad45b0d35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof LG Twins, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Kia Tigers | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.94 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed LG Twins | 41c | 2,112$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.61 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 1,774$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.6 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 37c | 1,735$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.23 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed LG Twins | 48c | 1,555$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.57 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 65c | 882.32$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.77 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kia Tigers | 65c | 810.59$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.44 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 560.95$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.87 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kia Tigers | 64c | 481.72$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.08 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…090cbacked LG Twins | 52c | 385$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LG Twins | 35c | 348.14$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 342.27$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 283.2$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked LG Twins | 41c | 266.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.17 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked LG Twins | 25c | 202.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 213 | 48.4%103 W · 110 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed LG Twins | 45c | 199.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 394 | 56.9%224 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LG Twins | 41c | 197.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed LG Twins | 25c | 192.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 38c | 188.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed LG Twins | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed LG Twins | 23c | 156.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fd…842dbacked Kia Tigers | 75c | 152.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…0bbfbacked LG Twins | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked LG Twins | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kia Tigers | 53c | 134.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed LG Twins | 43c | 132.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kia Tigers | 68c | 129.83$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…f06bbacked LG Twins | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Kia Tigers | 64c | 123.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked LG Twins | 23c | 110.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed LG Twins | 38c | 103.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 102.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 101.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Kia Tigers | 63c | 97.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 634 | 54.3%344 W · 290 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed LG Twins | 41c | 95.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…65a7backed LG Twins | 39c | 89.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 69c | 84.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed LG Twins | 40c | 74.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed LG Twins | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Kia Tigers | 63c | 70.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…83f7backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 67.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kia Tigers | 68c | 64.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed LG Twins | 44c | 60.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 59.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kia Tigers | 79c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Kia Tigers | 66c | 56.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed LG Twins | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 50.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked LG Twins | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed LG Twins | 39c | 35.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked LG Twins | 65c | 32.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 32.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -9.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Kia Tigers | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…2329backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed LG Twins | 60c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…760fbacked LG Twins | 38c | 28.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 23.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 21.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8741…5b0abacked Kia Tigers | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Kia Tigers | 71c | 19.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…5b0dbacked LG Twins | 76c | 14.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.