Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Essex vs Derbyshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0233ece6929782a035b1bdf9bbdf982b568412a8cf65cbc4122d1f2e57e0a4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Essexof Essex, Derbyshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Essex | 33c | 6,580$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,378.82 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Derbyshire | 65c | 6,451$4,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,189.78 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Derbyshire | 58c | 1,375$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Essex | 59c | 734.24$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.04 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Essex | 38c | 689.49$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.3 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…d00fbacked Essex | 50c | 449.97$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Derbyshire | 41c | 386.78$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.12 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Essex | 64c | 384.92$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.87 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Derbyshire | 36c | 339.03$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.05 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Derbyshire | 41c | 334.41$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2267…3355backed Derbyshire | 41c | 293.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Essex | 59c | 289.34$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.53 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Derbyshire | 66c | 215.79$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.06 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Essex | 60c | 187.56$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Essex | 58c | 174.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Derbyshire | 61c | 171$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Derbyshire | 54c | 170.13$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Derbyshire | 33c | 150.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Essex | 44c | 114.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Derbyshire | 53c | 96.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Derbyshire | 70c | 92.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Essex | 57c | 90.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Derbyshire | 38c | 86.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Derbyshire | 38c | 79.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Derbyshire | 41c | 72.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Essex | 54c | 65.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Essex | 62c | 64.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Derbyshire | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Derbyshire | 61c | 56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Essex | 58c | 53.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Derbyshire | 38c | 52.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Essex | 59c | 52.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Derbyshire | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Essex | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Derbyshire | 41c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Essex | 61c | 38.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Derbyshire | 73c | 37.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Derbyshire | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Derbyshire | 64c | 34.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed Essex | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Essex | 61c | 32.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Derbyshire | 57c | 30.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x381f…3f98backed Derbyshire | 50c | 24.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c5…bac8backed Essex | 50c | 24.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Essex | 59c | 23.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…36d3backed Essex | 50c | 22.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…b3dcbacked Derbyshire | 50c | 22.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.