Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cluj Napoca: Ilinca Sagmar vs Giulia Safina Popa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf06e4c32aa90ea8272d92cd78a0d9cead15b4bfd72822182bdbf77f6a30b8c7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giulia Safina Popaof Ilinca Sagmar, Giulia Safina Popa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ilinca Sagmar | 15c | 7,027$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.12 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Giulia Safina Popa | 75c | 1,226$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.24 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…20c0backed Giulia Safina Popa | 74c | 656.19$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.61 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Ilinca Sagmar | 17c | 499.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…0619backed Ilinca Sagmar | 48c | 428.83$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.84 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ilinca Sagmar | 17c | 423$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ilinca Sagmar | 16c | 408$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ilinca Sagmar | 16c | 259.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Giulia Safina Popa | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f5…56efbacked Giulia Safina Popa | 65c | 193.64$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ilinca Sagmar | 19c | 166.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ilinca Sagmar | 19c | 144.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Giulia Safina Popa | 76c | 135$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ilinca Sagmar | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Ilinca Sagmar | 19c | 116.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Ilinca Sagmar | 22c | 108.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Ilinca Sagmar | 35c | 98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ilinca Sagmar | 15c | 92.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ilinca Sagmar | 35c | 66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Ilinca Sagmar | 23c | 48.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Giulia Safina Popa | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Giulia Safina Popa | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Giulia Safina Popa | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.