TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Tunis: Joel Schwaerzler vs Federico Cina

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Federico Cinaof Joel Schwaerzler, Federico Cina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x479e…91c3backed Joel Schwaerzler58c8,604$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00044163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Federico Cina40c5,830$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,506.1611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Federico Cina42c3,211$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.958,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Federico Cina60c3,015$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.344,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Joel Schwaerzler26c2,717$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7205425.9%14 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Federico Cina44c1,750$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.221,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Federico Cina76c1,642$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.864949%24 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Federico Cina74c1,510$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.78,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Federico Cina44c999.98$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Joel Schwaerzler26c940.06$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.387,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Joel Schwaerzler61c898.94$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.294,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Joel Schwaerzler56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50060158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Joel Schwaerzler58c868.77$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025957.1%148 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Federico Cina57c866.48$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3692,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Joel Schwaerzler56c846.18$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.961,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Joel Schwaerzler42c632.84$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.875,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Joel Schwaerzler26c582.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15087337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Federico Cina47c566.66$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.561,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Federico Cina56c544.57$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.568,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Joel Schwaerzler41c503.25$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.612,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Joel Schwaerzler36c468.44$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8321641.7%90 W · 126 L-0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Joel Schwaerzler36c457.28$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.367,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Federico Cina41c439.98$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.572,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Federico Cina44c425.86$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.4835755.5%198 W · 159 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Joel Schwaerzler56c365.86$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8853843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Joel Schwaerzler26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7858639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb6…008fbacked Joel Schwaerzler26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-79.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Joel Schwaerzler58c206.89$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Federico Cina75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Joel Schwaerzler52c192.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019141.9%80 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Joel Schwaerzler56c191.96$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.554634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Joel Schwaerzler6c185.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7129241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Joel Schwaerzler61c164.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Federico Cina43c152.93$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.841,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Joel Schwaerzler64c126.78$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.142,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Federico Cina70c123.28$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.054,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Joel Schwaerzler54c106.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2143067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Federico Cina58c105.59$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.861,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Joel Schwaerzler52c103.91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7154249.3%267 W · 275 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Joel Schwaerzler32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3229039.3%114 W · 176 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8a…ddb2backed Joel Schwaerzler26c98.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.56933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Federico Cina54c98.28$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.812,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Joel Schwaerzler52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5059440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Federico Cina46c89.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.91,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Joel Schwaerzler32c86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5245235.8%162 W · 290 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Joel Schwaerzler32c86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5269438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Joel Schwaerzler18c85.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.221,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Federico Cina41c84.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.697,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Federico Cina47c80.69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.421,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Joel Schwaerzler53c78.65$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6870456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Federico Cina43c75.22$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.887,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Joel Schwaerzler26c74.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5173549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Joel Schwaerzler56c60.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.762,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Federico Cina70c60.07$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.786,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc274…86debacked Joel Schwaerzler26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1549342.8%211 W · 282 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd13c…98a7backed Joel Schwaerzler52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017242.4%73 W · 99 L-17.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Joel Schwaerzler42c55.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4874346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Federico Cina75c54.7$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.672,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Federico Cina76c51.5$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.369,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Federico Cina41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Federico Cina66c46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.642,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Federico Cina44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.457341.1%30 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x731b…6124backed Joel Schwaerzler58c43.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.872147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb964…927fbacked Joel Schwaerzler58c42.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.838060%48 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b9b…aff7backed Joel Schwaerzler55c41.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.40per pick51cpaid-80.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Federico Cina74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e96…88c6backed Joel Schwaerzler57c37.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52619.2%5 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0b95…e2babacked Joel Schwaerzler55c36.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Federico Cina43c36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.522,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Federico Cina42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7166452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Federico Cina45c35.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4989859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Federico Cina50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4531366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Federico Cina44c34.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2632043.8%140 W · 180 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9081…8a6ebacked Joel Schwaerzler56c32.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2141768.1%284 W · 133 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Joel Schwaerzler56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.874955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Federico Cina59c28.38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.546,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Federico Cina75c27.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.862,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Joel Schwaerzler42c25.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.936365.1%41 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82ad…9a2bbacked Federico Cina45c24.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.