Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump appoint Scott Jennings for White House Press Secretary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1a49f3129921c2f6d4dd745bcd42973e01cc6b2f074c1530301ba3bf4a676a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 77c | 4,442$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.92 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…8315backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…33f6backed Yes | 13c | 1,197$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 12c | 1,157$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.84 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 22c | 554.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 7c | 525$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 78c | 497.49$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed Yes | 71c | 337.77$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.22 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…8eaebacked Yes | 26c | 240.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…5cedbacked Yes | 25c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…2884backed Yes | 35c | 190.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed No | 21c | 181.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.35 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +8.3wins | +0.32per pick | 14cpaid | +308.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 60c | 137.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4302…6350backed Yes | 39c | 100.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3928…fc16backed Yes | 26c | 77.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…cd9fbacked No | 79c | 67.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9780…6255backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed No | 29c | 42.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump appoint Scott Jennings for White House Press Secretary?this page
- Will Trump appoint Alina Habba for White House Press Secretary?No won
- Will Trump appoint Karoline Leavitt for White House Press Secretary?Yes won
- Will Trump appoint Kayleigh McEnany for White House Press Secretary?No won
- Will Trump appoint Nicole Shanahan for White House Press Secretary?No won
- Will Trump appoint Steven Cheung for White House Press Secretary?No won
- Will Trump appoint Susie Wiles for White House Press Secretary?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.