Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Antalyaspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf210d9e8acd6e4592c3e1771df050e6fdff6e6176516a706287895d424d3cb8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 5,160$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.22 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 2,731$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.22 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.6wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 2,154$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 73c | 1,710$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.68 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 1,451$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.79 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 873.76$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.96 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 764.17$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.44 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 505$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 77c | 499.71$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.02 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 16c | 422.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 74c | 331.49$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 17c | 291.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8395…516cbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 38c | 160$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 107$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 21c | 98.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 31c | 78.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 48c | 76.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 38c | 70.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 50.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 77c | 47.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…7eaebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 37.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…f568backed No | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 71c | 29.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 22.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 66c | 21.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 74c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 14.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Antalyaspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?this page
- Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.