Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf270c525f54ff10155513d628c7654213b91032d25fbfcdeb062d6e50cbc1254
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 51c | 835.56$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.57 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3d…e2abbacked No | 19c | 428.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 46c | 418.71$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.85 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 9c | 303$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 35c | 284.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 60c | 260.46$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.65 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed Yes | 80c | 248.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 49c | 184.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 38c | 157.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 125.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 122.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3fbcbacked No | 33c | 107$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 52c | 103.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 44c | 103.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 12c | 103.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 11c | 103$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 17c | 97.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…0a9abacked Yes | 48c | 78.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 66c | 69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 48c | 68.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…4d6ebacked Yes | 41c | 67.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 48c | 65.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 53c | 63.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…5318backed No | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…f395backed Yes | 62c | 57.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 80c | 57.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 35c | 57.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…8f53backed No | 36c | 53.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 38c | 52.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 46c | 50.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 40c | 49.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 41c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…d4fbbacked Yes | 46c | 43.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 48c | 40.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c92…0adfbacked No | 59c | 40.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 59c | 39.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1195…e17fbacked Yes | 51c | 38.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…09b3backed No | 59c | 36.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 31c | 34.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 55c | 34.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9282…cf25backed No | 54c | 32.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked Yes | 56c | 31.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…8652backed No | 59c | 29.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 56c | 28.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 42c | 27.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 47c | 25.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 45c | 25.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…917cbacked Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 53c | 24.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…7efcbacked Yes | 47c | 24.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 56c | 21.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…3c50backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed Yes | 79c | 19.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50d…2557backed Yes | 79c | 18.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 60c | 17.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.