Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7047b73a7c0163c040810ef203cfa06b7ce3e33a723a39995c493bf5435d716
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 23c | 308.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed Yes | 29c | 295.85$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 21c | 270.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 26c | 266.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 22c | 149.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…abd9backed Yes | 10c | 147.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 72c | 145.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…8652backed Yes | 20c | 123.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 25c | 120.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 116.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 17c | 106.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 103.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 26c | 96.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 29c | 95.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…57c3backed Yes | 27c | 93.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -16.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 20c | 86.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 72c | 82.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…20e0backed Yes | 16c | 81.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 78c | 81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 73c | 78.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 75c | 77.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 79c | 76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 76c | 75.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 28c | 71.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…9c5bbacked No | 79c | 66.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 75c | 65.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 23c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 19c | 53.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 21c | 51.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 73c | 50.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 79c | 41.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3fbcbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 75c | 39.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb918…2406backed No | 79c | 38.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…b050backed No | 75c | 34.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 31.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 31.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9eb…c7b3backed No | 73c | 29.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…cca4backed No | 72c | 27.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 27.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 77c | 26.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 73c | 26.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…7a24backed No | 75c | 26.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 72c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe801…764fbacked No | 77c | 23.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…b4d7backed No | 78c | 22.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 79c | 21.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…55bfbacked No | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 83 | 85.5%71 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 78cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…8c1bbacked No | 74c | 20.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…1ffabacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 75c | 19.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 73c | 19.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…3253backed No | 79c | 18.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 76c | 18.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…6ef7backed No | 78c | 18.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked No | 80c | 18.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 17.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.