Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Tsitsipas vs Collignon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf270e2014f52c2bae38ade60bc596535bb3b439ea9e2a988286c4d0475f964a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Collignonof Tsitsipas, Collignon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Tsitsipas | 57c | 1,409$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.27 | 631 | 44.1%278 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7443…7a4bbacked Tsitsipas | 30c | 989.51$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Collignon | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Collignon | 63c | 287.51$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Collignon | 44c | 221.32$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Collignon | 43c | 220.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.93 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tsitsipas | 24c | 169.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Collignon | 60c | 152.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227a…de71backed Tsitsipas | 64c | 152.17$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Collignon | 40c | 123.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Collignon | 78c | 112.56$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Collignon | 69c | 107.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Tsitsipas | 64c | 105.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tsitsipas | 60c | 98.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Collignon | 69c | 96.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Collignon | 73c | 93.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Tsitsipas | 52c | 82.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Collignon | 43c | 74.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Collignon | 48c | 67.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…2081backed Collignon | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Collignon | 72c | 56.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tsitsipas | 58c | 54.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Tsitsipas | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…1d6bbacked Collignon | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Tsitsipas vs Collignonthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs CollignonTsitsipas won
- Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Collignon (+1.5)Collignon won
- Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Raphael Collignon: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael CollignonStefanos Tsitsipas won
- Tsitsipas vs. Collignon: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Tsitsipas vs. Collignon: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Tsitsipas vs. Collignon: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Tsitsipas vs. Collignon: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Tsitsipas vs. Collignon: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.