Tennis · resolved market
Lyon: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Clement Tabur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf29f96542cba3fc290545fb1f9f3dd7e89ee8d20b86395e4a8a279a9af896c1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clement Taburof Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg, Clement Tabur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 2c | 5,500$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 7c | 3,228$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.97 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 29c | 3,080$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.48 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 23c | 2,892$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.15 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 8c | 2,333$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.64 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 22c | 907.11$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Clement Tabur | 72c | 669.82$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 4c | 660.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 11c | 539.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 28c | 500$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 10c | 456.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Clement Tabur | 73c | 405.4$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Clement Tabur | 70c | 262.86$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 30c | 257.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Clement Tabur | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Clement Tabur | 73c | 150.89$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 13c | 143.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Clement Tabur | 80c | 127.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 10c | 114.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 27c | 92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 22c | 88.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 26c | 50.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Clement Tabur | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 29c | 47.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…63bfbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Clement Tabur | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Clement Tabur | 73c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2554…bb52backed Clement Tabur | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Clement Tabur | 70c | 22.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed Clement Tabur | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Clement Tabur | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Clement Tabur | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Clement Tabur | 71c | 19.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Clement Tabur | 71c | 14.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.