Fifa International · resolved market
Will Türkiye be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf30e2a7d7c0f7fec353ecc72a065548b28ec0fb4416a7dda63c8529c9b118e13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fd2…48e6backed Yes | 12c | 12,904$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762f…25c2backed Yes | 37c | 902$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…5325backed Yes | 37c | 499$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7888…5ec9backed Yes | 37c | 499$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…5546backed Yes | 37c | 354$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…9db9backed Yes | 36c | 324$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 14c | 310$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 37c | 295$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.15 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d591backed Yes | 14c | 277.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 19c | 257.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 37c | 239.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 22c | 217.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 18c | 193$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…58a9backed Yes | 7c | 190$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 176$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bf…5b94backed Yes | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaab…b2fcbacked Yes | 10c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 61c | 136.78$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecb…26a9backed Yes | 49c | 113.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 168 | 47%79 W · 89 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…51d5backed Yes | 30c | 68.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 76c | 67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…9090backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Türkiye be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Australia be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.