MLB · resolved market
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3951e882e55c4ed7285c1411a5fbc25813ba08f4fdccfc520a9131315642906
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Hanwha Eagles, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 22c | 2,154$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.89 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9c…06c6backed Samsung Lions | 80c | 2,068$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hanwha Eagles | 52c | 638.74$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 367.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.18 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 340.88$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Hanwha Eagles | 42c | 251.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 222.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 202.02$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hanwha Eagles | 41c | 200.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 200.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hanwha Eagles | 23c | 182.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samsung Lions | 67c | 160$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Samsung Lions | 63c | 159.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 158$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Hanwha Eagles | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…ba8bbacked Samsung Lions | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 99.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Samsung Lions | 40c | 79.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Hanwha Eagles | 42c | 75.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Hanwha Eagles | 31c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Hanwha Eagles | 46c | 58.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Hanwha Eagles | 42c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Samsung Lions | 68c | 47.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Hanwha Eagles | 41c | 46.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 36.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Hanwha Eagles | 44c | 35.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked Hanwha Eagles | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…cdc5backed Hanwha Eagles | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…1909backed Hanwha Eagles | 46c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Samsung Lions | 57c | 18.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.