Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf397e734db1e393ccec3e7451286ba5e79f19c994fdb7f8bd757fa1bb3aca0fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 4,774$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.81 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 56c | 4,500$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.95 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d6…e6eabacked Yes | 57c | 3,509$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…f406backed Yes | 66c | 2,900$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes | 71c | 2,803$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 35c | 2,122$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.59 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.04 | 878 | 48.3%424 W · 454 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 34c | 1,659$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.61 | 752 | 56.4%424 W · 328 L | +43.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 1c | 1,011$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 55c | 685.4$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.79 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked No | 61c | 673.83$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +10.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 40c | 433.85$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked No | 35c | 282.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 65c | 230.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.83 | 225 | 37.8%85 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked No | 48c | 204.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 179.87$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 685 | 39.9%273 W · 412 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 67c | 165.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…c53bbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…6961backed Yes | 60c | 148.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 34c | 143$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 30c | 139.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 28c | 132.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d60…8cc1backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 17c | 81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 31c | 79.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859f…0f26backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 34c | 60.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…3fedbacked Yes | 56c | 59.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 73c | 45.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 376 | 38.3%144 W · 232 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 993 | 45.8%455 W · 538 L | +14.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 30c | 36.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…2f1abacked No | 42c | 36.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed No | 30c | 36.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Yes | 56c | 22.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 64c | 21.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC leading at halftime?this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Draw at halftime?Yes won
- Luton Town FC leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.