TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FC Midtjyllandof FC Midtjylland, HNK Rijeka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,126

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,919 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed HNK Rijeka66c3,392$2,242 inLost-$2,242.042,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed FC Midtjylland74c2,227$1,644 inWon+$582.843,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed FC Midtjylland51c866.79$438 inWon+$428.762,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed FC Midtjylland33c447.39$149 inWon+$298.541,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked HNK Rijeka42c376.55$159 inLost-$159.211,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed HNK Rijeka30c281.07$83 inLost-$83.381440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed FC Midtjylland74c216.04$161 inWon+$55.256761.2%41 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfecc…7551backed FC Midtjylland36c138.89$50 inWon+$88.891030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed HNK Rijeka50c98$49 inLost-$49.112633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked FC Midtjylland50c88$44 inWon+$4445348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked FC Midtjylland42c60.68$25 inWon+$35.437356.2%41 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed FC Midtjylland79c48$38 inWon+$10.1313467.9%91 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed FC Midtjylland38c39$15 inWon+$24.1818940.2%76 W · 113 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed FC Midtjylland77c38.58$30 inWon+$8.9929470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed FC Midtjylland77c27.96$22 inWon+$6.3858061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed FC Midtjylland77c27.96$22 inWon+$6.3885260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed HNK Rijeka62c26.41$16 inLost-$16.3723951.5%123 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…70ffbacked FC Midtjylland38c26.41$10 inWon+$16.372544%11 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab95…6c79backed HNK Rijeka64c24.78$16 inLost-$15.984564.4%29 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.