Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4f0216fb20b96bcf72b75a3b63cbf15b9da6814ce83abbf49736e1816f34224
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 9,962$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.26 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes | 24c | 4,189$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,188.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 23c | 3,298$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.29 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 2,270$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.65 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 1,631$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.87 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 77c | 1,423$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.34 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 1,320$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.89 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 77c | 818$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.86 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 72c | 767.5$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.65 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 53c | 707$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.71 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 676.99$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.04 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 45c | 620.21$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 37c | 515.83$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.77 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 41c | 509.09$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 33c | 386.06$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.66 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 337.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.98 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked Yes | 25c | 273.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 36c | 227$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 226.17$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.82 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 30c | 212$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 78c | 169$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.82 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 77c | 143.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 58c | 138.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 44c | 128.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 67c | 124$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked No | 9c | 118.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 11c | 106.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 21c | 95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 54c | 85.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 79.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 67c | 75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 77c | 63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 19c | 53.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 60c | 51.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ea…7ee6backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 75c | 40.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…613ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +185.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 37.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 50c | 37.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 72c | 30.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Linfield FC win on 2026-07-16?No won
- Will Nõmme Kalju FC win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.