Lol · resolved market
LoL: NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS vs GD Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6152875668d97cc39541044a2e1c56e40e3ed4f1d2c1e388efa9703508791f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTSof NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS, GD Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8006…94a3backed GD Esports | 51c | 2,193$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed GD Esports | 58c | 1,934$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.92 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 65c | 781.2$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.62 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 41c | 732.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.68 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 52c | 717.36$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.27 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…ee2abacked GD Esports | 30c | 508.34$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.77 | 174 | 45.4%79 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 63c | 438.49$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.57 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 43c | 400$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.99 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 41c | 344.5$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.4 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…cf22backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 49c | 335.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.73 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…e6fcbacked GD Esports | 49c | 279.43$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked GD Esports | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 354 | 35.3%125 W · 229 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 60c | 152.63$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a57…0383backed GD Esports | 58c | 122.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed GD Esports | 38c | 120.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a0…8189backed GD Esports | 41c | 119.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 59c | 110.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 243 | 56.4%137 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30bf…a6f7backed GD Esports | 51c | 98.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 31c | 91.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked GD Esports | 37c | 81.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 66c | 72.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 53c | 64.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 41c | 64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked GD Esports | 62c | 62.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 428 | 51.2%219 W · 209 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 61c | 62.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 44c | 61.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 539 | 32.5%175 W · 364 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 51c | 50.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 38c | 50.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8484…3389backed GD Esports | 43c | 46.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed GD Esports | 43c | 45.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 529 | 45.9%243 W · 286 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…6857backed GD Esports | 55c | 45.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 68c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 61c | 42.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked GD Esports | 42c | 35.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 62c | 33.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked GD Esports | 62c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 64c | 25.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 56c | 25.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed GD Esports | 46c | 23.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.