MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6756fc0e90cfc6fa0fafee4a51f7fcec34fdd4dab6e4e7110d2a95ed0117fe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof San Francisco Giants, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 9,583$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,083.01 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Los Angeles Angels | 17c | 7,035$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,868.52 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 2,744$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.6 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 2,330$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.9 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 2,307$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.71 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 2,118$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.37 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 1,684$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 1,505$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.46 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 1,500$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,474$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed San Francisco Giants | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 961.66$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.28 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 942$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 506.28$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.18 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 435.33$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 374.24$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.86 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked San Francisco Giants | 77c | 356$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.52 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 310.44$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.01 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 296$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.12 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Los Angeles Angels | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 229.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde47…aa74backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 228$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 224.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…7d83backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…f0e4backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…10efbacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 163$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 140.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…cb52backed Los Angeles Angels | 12c | 128.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3330…1573backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 126$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked San Francisco Giants | 73c | 113.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked San Francisco Giants | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4316…7a37backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 60.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 49.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 36.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 24.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.