MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6ea0edefd5ac384f9cc0b7d56bbed217ba256720ba45d82db78d0753cd7cd35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Doosan Bears, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6129…0807backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kia Tigers | 46c | 3,329$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.61 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 1,876$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.07 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 1,697$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.53 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 1,559$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.58 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 1,366$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9c…06c6backed Kia Tigers | 71c | 882.38$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Kia Tigers | 48c | 815.94$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.94 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Doosan Bears | 22c | 629.73$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.74 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kia Tigers | 51c | 615.87$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.78 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Kia Tigers | 79c | 467.3$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.09 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kia Tigers | 51c | 396.22$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.15 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 357.01$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.21 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 319.62$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.55 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Kia Tigers | 47c | 278.35$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.53 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 265.75$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.85 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 256.87$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.6 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Kia Tigers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 177$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kia Tigers | 69c | 150.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Kia Tigers | 51c | 150.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Kia Tigers | 46c | 133.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…35c3backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 133.46$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d8…c4c9backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 130.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kia Tigers | 77c | 125$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 117$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 111.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 389 | 56.8%221 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 104.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kia Tigers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Kia Tigers | 46c | 96.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 624 | 54.2%338 W · 286 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 88.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kia Tigers | 74c | 81.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d6…5c3abacked Doosan Bears | 52c | 78.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…b3c3backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 68.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kia Tigers | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…22eabacked Doosan Bears | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 56.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 779 | 52.1%406 W · 373 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Kia Tigers | 77c | 54.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 50.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…cdc5backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 45.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Kia Tigers | 39c | 39.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 473 | 46.5%220 W · 253 L | +25.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 34.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Kia Tigers | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Kia Tigers | 46c | 24.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Kia Tigers | 48c | 21.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.