NHL · resolved market
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Dinamo Minsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6fa1e31a34a738933dc8357537450b6ead4111758431132866e2119bdf7cf06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HC Dynamo Moscowof HC Dynamo Moscow, Dinamo Minsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,178 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b1…f737backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 51c | 8,247$4,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,005.67 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…af1dbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 49c | 4,391$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…cfcfbacked Dinamo Minsk | 51c | 4,391$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 1,446$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.96 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Dinamo Minsk | 51c | 1,212$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dinamo Minsk | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.99 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Dinamo Minsk | 49c | 1,179$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.11 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Dinamo Minsk | 48c | 1,018$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.68 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 50c | 944.32$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.98 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 49c | 766.54$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.54 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…1a11backed Dinamo Minsk | 51c | 651.6$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Dinamo Minsk | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Dinamo Minsk | 49c | 508.38$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.73 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Dinamo Minsk | 49c | 500.66$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 478.71$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.24 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Dinamo Minsk | 47c | 450.37$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.1 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Dinamo Minsk | 49c | 426.53$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 414.42$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Dinamo Minsk | 49c | 362.35$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.55 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dinamo Minsk | 49c | 357$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Dinamo Minsk | 47c | 347.89$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.52 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Dinamo Minsk | 49c | 324.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.76 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 51c | 320.2$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.54 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Dinamo Minsk | 48c | 214.4$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Dinamo Minsk | 49c | 187.49$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 132.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Dinamo Minsk | 51c | 128$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Dinamo Minsk | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Dinamo Minsk | 53c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Dinamo Minsk | 76c | 37.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…922bbacked Dinamo Minsk | 51c | 35.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dinamo Minsk | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 49c | 23.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 23.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Dinamo Minsk | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…e529backed Dinamo Minsk | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.