NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7eff166bad76a90c4b00d5cb9cb24f647df6f7a2fef7ff5121d810bc8edb14d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 51c | 3,940$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.98 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 3,402$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.83 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.99 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 2,999$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.75 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 53c | 2,392$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.13 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 46c | 2,054$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.66 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…8c46backed Under | 1c | 2,043$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 45c | 1,793$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.71 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 55c | 1,729$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.83 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 47c | 1,617$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.16 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Over | 33c | 1,200$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.49 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 1,093$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.69 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 53c | 1,001$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.48 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Over | 55c | 780$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 54c | 600.2$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.2 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 26c | 453.36$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.75 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 67c | 452.64$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.27 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 36c | 421.26$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.84 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 358$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.26 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 329.89$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.05 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 25c | 255.12$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.26 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 67c | 220$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 70c | 174.14$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 76c | 163.47$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 61c | 138$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 73c | 136.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 123.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4686…b6dbbacked Under | 46c | 105.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Over | 37c | 65.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab7…b261backed Over | 55c | 54.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 46c | 44.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53a…1a77backed Under | 47c | 42.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Under | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…2632backed Under | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 63c | 19.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 53c | 19.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Under | 79c | 16.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5this page
- Panthers vs. BlackhawksPanthers won
- Panthers vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.