CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf818af84794de32de2fd55ddf259e7baf50831bd76f831aef2df8beddeccdbe1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Leo Team, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb595…5922backed Misa Esports | 57c | 1,110$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.13 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Leo Team | 68c | 995.84$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.17 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports | 32c | 800$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Misa Esports | 32c | 491.6$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.29 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Misa Esports | 57c | 460.03$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Misa Esports | 61c | 456.28$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Leo Team | 53c | 319.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports | 63c | 255.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Leo Team | 56c | 247$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.53 | 873 | 30.9%270 W · 603 L | -62.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Leo Team | 42c | 239.58$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Misa Esports | 39c | 235.18$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.98 | 349 | 41.5%145 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Leo Team | 53c | 219.31$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.31 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Leo Team | 53c | 179.01$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports | 59c | 175.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Leo Team | 36c | 172.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Misa Esports | 57c | 170.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Leo Team | 44c | 151.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Leo Team | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Leo Team | 38c | 146.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 735 | 48.4%356 W · 379 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Leo Team | 22c | 139.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Misa Esports | 56c | 130.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 343 | 56.6%194 W · 149 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Misa Esports | 43c | 124.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Leo Team | 57c | 120.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Leo Team | 68c | 120$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Leo Team | 36c | 111.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leo Team | 44c | 104.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed Leo Team | 69c | 101.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Leo Team | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked Leo Team | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Leo Team | 47c | 98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Leo Team | 65c | 92.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Leo Team | 45c | 84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Leo Team | 54c | 77.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Misa Esports | 36c | 76.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 835 | 56.2%469 W · 366 L | +31.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Misa Esports | 47c | 72.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Misa Esports | 29c | 68.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 789 | 52%410 W · 379 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Leo Team | 52c | 65.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Leo Team | 56c | 62.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Misa Esports | 41c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…9839backed Misa Esports | 78c | 58.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports | 38c | 51.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…8dedbacked Leo Team | 70c | 50.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Misa Esports | 64c | 49.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Leo Team | 39c | 44.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports | 57c | 41.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Leo Team | 68c | 40.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Leo Team | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Leo Team | 69c | 36.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…76b5backed Misa Esports | 45c | 35.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Misa Esports | 30c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Leo Team | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Leo Team | 63c | 31.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Misa Esports | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Misa Esports | 58c | 30.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Leo Team | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Leo Team | 48c | 23.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Leo Team | 75c | 22.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 519 | 69.2%359 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Leo Team | 59c | 17.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x314f…e463backed Leo Team | 71c | 16.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerLeo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.