Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf835e1a63ef9f5bd6773b82a64ea210b183f1ec93e05d6b2b58dbddc6e4f9962
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 10.2%18 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 5.5%6 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 218 | 1.8%4 W · 214 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 7c | 499.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 55c | 407.34$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.44 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked Over | 45c | 386.82$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.06 | 567 | 44.8%254 W · 313 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Under | 53c | 295.62$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 28c | 262.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 31c | 225.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 55c | 219.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.43 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Over | 72c | 217.5$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 34c | 202.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 22c | 192$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Under | 70c | 173.9$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 53c | 163.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 66c | 163.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Under | 62c | 158.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 366 | 60.1%220 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615a…8af2backed Under | 28c | 136.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.64 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Over | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 239 | 43.1%103 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Over | 34c | 121.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Over | 19c | 119$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over | 44c | 109.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 185 | 55.1%102 W · 83 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8548…e4c1backed Under | 78c | 98.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 26c | 97.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…b919backed Under | 69c | 89.32$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 33c | 82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Under | 41c | 57.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 208 | 36.1%75 W · 133 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 57c | 56.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 38c | 51.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…d011backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 41c | 49.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 160 | 38.1%61 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3682…07d6backed Under | 28c | 48.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 65 | 73.8%48 W · 17 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 62c | 48.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Under | 27c | 47.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Under | 66c | 44.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 170 | 67.1%114 W · 56 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Under | 67c | 44.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 56c | 43.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 406 | 41.9%170 W · 236 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 55c | 42.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…4fe3backed Under | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Under | 59c | 38.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…15b2backed Over | 34c | 38.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 69c | 35.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 55c | 33.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 401 | 43.9%176 W · 225 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Under | 59c | 29.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Under | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7898…0667backed Under | 67c | 26.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Under | 66c | 22.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.