TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Montana State Bobcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eastern Washington Eaglesof Eastern Washington Eagles, Montana State Bobcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,931

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,212 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Montana State Bobcats68c6,026$4,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,097.6789645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Eastern Washington Eagles32c3,094$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.7584147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Eastern Washington Eagles32c2,696$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.3574649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Eastern Washington Eagles42c2,518$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.161,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eastern Washington Eagles32c2,047$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.8812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Montana State Bobcats63c1,561$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.13,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Eastern Washington Eagles42c1,502$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.065,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Montana State Bobcats68c1,155$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.482,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Montana State Bobcats69c1,039$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae5…910abacked Montana State Bobcats2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20390%0 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x359f…fa80backed Montana State Bobcats3c899.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.272611.5%3 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd607…6ddcbacked Montana State Bobcats4c843.04$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.43496.1%3 W · 46 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-22.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Montana State Bobcats57c787.98$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.7712045.8%55 W · 65 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Montana State Bobcats56c526.56$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.91,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x411e…ea8bbacked Montana State Bobcats7c499.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.871811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Montana State Bobcats56c486.42$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.21,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf50d…7ba8backed Montana State Bobcats7c400$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29287.1%2 W · 26 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Eastern Washington Eagles31c400$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2767038.6%27 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Montana State Bobcats62c323.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Montana State Bobcats7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21310%0 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Montana State Bobcats68c275$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18791848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Montana State Bobcats61c218$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5114643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Montana State Bobcats69c213.35$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.043,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Montana State Bobcats62c210$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.622,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ce…8f73backed Eastern Washington Eagles14c199.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.99540%2 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick13cpaid+185.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Montana State Bobcats56c195$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.781,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Eastern Washington Eagles55c183.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.153,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Eastern Washington Eagles45c168$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.352,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Eastern Washington Eagles41c159.55$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6638345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Montana State Bobcats68c156.25$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Eastern Washington Eagles32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.256756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc07d…bf5dbacked Eastern Washington Eagles32c142.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Montana State Bobcats47c141$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Montana State Bobcats57c130.25$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.21,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Montana State Bobcats39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Eastern Washington Eagles73c123$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.711,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Eastern Washington Eagles32c89.75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.032,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Eastern Washington Eagles52c84.29$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.691,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Montana State Bobcats45c79.19$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.631,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Eastern Washington Eagles43c70$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.944146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Eastern Washington Eagles38c63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.332,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Eastern Washington Eagles32c60.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.092,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Eastern Washington Eagles48c45.73$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9599848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Eastern Washington Eagles32c34.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.721,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Eastern Washington Eagles32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2518230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Eastern Washington Eagles66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.318167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Montana State Bobcats60c24.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Montana State Bobcats71c23.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.245,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Montana State Bobcats68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.664658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.