TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Nicholls Colonels vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nicholls Colonelsof Nicholls Colonels, Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,835 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde6d…0926backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros43c12,246$5,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,285.463834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a65…e883backed Nicholls Colonels75c4,949$3,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.891154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nicholls Colonels45c4,834$2,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.635,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros25c3,777$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.22,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Nicholls Colonels45c3,262$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.6123158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros61c1,731$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.761533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros34c1,415$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.081,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros13c1,308$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.281,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Nicholls Colonels44c1,180$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.991968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros59c677.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Nicholls Colonels48c625.63$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.633953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros61c560.23$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34119237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Nicholls Colonels55c541.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.172860.7%17 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Nicholls Colonels43c461.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.065735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1885556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros7c389.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.513,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros49c363.2$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.373549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Nicholls Colonels31c321.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.4610757.9%62 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Nicholls Colonels30c298.1$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.7142327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nicholls Colonels45c272.29$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.574,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros10c192.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.921,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Nicholls Colonels39c179.74$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6413219.7%26 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros11c160$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.61,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Nicholls Colonels42c144.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.292748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nicholls Colonels52c142$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.891,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd64…cbeebacked Nicholls Colonels74c129$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.544148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros65c109.25$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.543043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Nicholls Colonels37c107.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4311055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Nicholls Colonels73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Nicholls Colonels56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.335942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros58c99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.427335.6%26 W · 47 L-9.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0191…93f0backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros57c97.32$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros54c96.74$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.691,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ed…32d3backed Nicholls Colonels32c95.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.233253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros24c93.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.432646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc916…2ee5backed Nicholls Colonels42c90$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.22227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc30…85c6backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros61c81.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb6…5dfbbacked Nicholls Colonels41c69.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros66c59.07$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.213456.7%76 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nicholls Colonels43c58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Nicholls Colonels39c51.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.134447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Nicholls Colonels43c48.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8421830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Nicholls Colonels56c41.88$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4838343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c1…b554backed Nicholls Colonels43c41.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.751346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8e…cac2backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros60c34.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros40c33.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.331216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros53c32.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.391,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros49c31.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.294,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68b8…a2b1backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Nicholls Colonels42c28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.243253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked Nicholls Colonels45c26.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.675540%22 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros60c23.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafe7…8b77backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros65c22.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.876558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.