Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Liberty Flames vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf968352a215186ff02a2879acc5afa6bca02d820f2b79f412f381c656c116a60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liberty Flamesof Liberty Flames, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 47c | 10,999$5,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,157.09 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Liberty Flames | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Liberty Flames | 54c | 7,513$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,490.18 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 10c | 5,296$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.79 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 20c | 4,329$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.8 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 5c | 2,270$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.73 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liberty Flames | 61c | 1,584$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.62 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 48c | 1,357$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.78 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Liberty Flames | 52c | 1,326$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.99 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 22c | 1,291$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.27 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 24c | 1,166$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.78 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 47c | 843.61$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.5 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Liberty Flames | 57c | 825$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.75 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 10c | 521$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 46c | 509.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.7 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 18c | 461.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 9c | 399.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Liberty Flames | 55c | 373.48$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.8 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 7c | 292.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Liberty Flames | 52c | 286.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.65 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Liberty Flames | 54c | 280.74$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.23 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 9c | 257.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 45c | 248$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.72 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Liberty Flames | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Liberty Flames | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 45c | 164$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 46c | 156.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 46c | 139.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Liberty Flames | 69c | 115.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Liberty Flames | 52c | 114.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Liberty Flames | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 46c | 106.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Liberty Flames | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 47c | 93.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 30c | 84.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Liberty Flames | 72c | 71.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Liberty Flames | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 46c | 49.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Liberty Flames | 54c | 40.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked Liberty Flames | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Liberty Flames | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 47c | 23.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Liberty Flames | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Liberty Flames | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liberty Flames vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersthis page
- Spread: Liberty Flames (-1.5)Liberty Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.