Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf99b6f3bb12c33d501018836a24abdc4409db2c09f9384f1b98a5b95d6efbb5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x189e…89d9backed No | 71c | 1,166$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.65 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 29c | 1,162$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.51 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 46c | 729.7$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.63 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 7c | 584.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Yes | 49c | 481.85$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.69 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…d8a9backed No | 78c | 286.09$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.01 | 79 | 79.7%63 W · 16 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x571d…4e76backed Yes | 40c | 283.15$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.22 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 9c | 250$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.63 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 21c | 237$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.71 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 36c | 222.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.75 | 402 | 26.9%108 W · 294 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 7c | 206.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.45 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 51c | 193.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2a…4613backed Yes | 11c | 186.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +366.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked No | 73c | 175.62$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 53c | 174.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 33c | 153.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 67c | 150$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 25c | 143.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…f053backed No | 48c | 135.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 51c | 133.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2f98…e397backed Yes | 35c | 133$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 63c | 126.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…436abacked Yes | 30c | 121.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 65c | 103.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 49c | 102.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 31c | 100.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 80c | 98.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 34c | 91.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 49c | 90.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 26c | 90.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 57c | 84.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 46c | 84.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 181 | 42.5%77 W · 104 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 33c | 81.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…dc2ebacked No | 39c | 81.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 284 | 41.5%118 W · 166 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…07bcbacked No | 66c | 78.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 99 | 76.8%76 W · 23 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…1e4ebacked Yes | 51c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 321 | 47.4%152 W · 169 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 29c | 75.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 34c | 75.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 41c | 73.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 29c | 68.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 29c | 68.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 33c | 68.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 55c | 67.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 79c | 62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 70c | 61.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d3…5122backed Yes | 57c | 60.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 49c | 60.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3473…e864backed Yes | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 34c | 59.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 43c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 52c | 51.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 28c | 48.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 32c | 47.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 68c | 45.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 33c | 43.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed Yes | 40c | 39.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 45c | 37.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc6…dde3backed No | 71c | 33.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed Yes | 59c | 33.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 72c | 30.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…6882backed No | 45c | 30.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 425 | 55.1%234 W · 191 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b1…11d2backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +15.0wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 51c | 29.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbabc…f582backed No | 69c | 27.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked No | 72c | 24.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 57c | 23.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 352 | 64.8%228 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…d2dabacked Yes | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 70c | 20.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 70c | 20.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0037…8d61backed Yes | 51c | 19.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…536dbacked No | 80c | 15.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.