Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Western Michigan Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfab0d9da5bd555c094e945eb0d7b665a9275efe104dcb4729f7909917785d161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Michigan Broncosof Central Michigan Chippewas, Western Michigan Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Western Michigan Broncos | 68c | 1,605$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.6 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 53c | 1,398$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 68c | 1,307$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.24 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 32c | 1,192$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.41 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 34c | 590.22$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.28 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 50c | 514$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.06 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 22c | 500$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Western Michigan Broncos | 73c | 454.43$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 23c | 275$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 7c | 253.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 249.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.46 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 67c | 229$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 33c | 229$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Western Michigan Broncos | 68c | 220.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 33c | 201.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Western Michigan Broncos | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 32c | 191$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 19c | 189.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 37c | 184$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 27c | 170.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 51c | 158$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 32c | 149.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 8c | 131.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Western Michigan Broncos | 61c | 96.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 66c | 90.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 34c | 89.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Western Michigan Broncos | 67c | 66.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 28c | 61.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 27c | 46.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Western Michigan Broncos | 68c | 42.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 45c | 29.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 49c | 27.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 68c | 20.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Western Michigan Broncos | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Western Michigan Broncosthis page
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Western Michigan Broncos (-5.5)Western Michigan Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.