Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: RIZON vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaba14b1919563c00373905ff045a5889d40e1975a584d39fcd5dbfac5d52f69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Frankfurtof RIZON, Eintracht Frankfurt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed RIZON | 19c | 6,023$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.6 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked RIZON | 22c | 2,070$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.46 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked RIZON | 20c | 1,755$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.95 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed RIZON | 18c | 1,748$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.35 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed RIZON | 20c | 1,228$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed RIZON | 15c | 1,038$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.56 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…38eabacked RIZON | 11c | 555.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…9343backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed RIZON | 22c | 492.81$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed RIZON | 24c | 330.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 78c | 296.04$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 80c | 272.01$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 78c | 224$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed RIZON | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 76c | 181$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 80c | 171.91$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed RIZON | 11c | 168.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…fbe0backed RIZON | 32c | 153.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 77c | 130.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed RIZON | 19c | 127.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RIZON | 21c | 125.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 76c | 118.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked RIZON | 21c | 116$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked RIZON | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed RIZON | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked RIZON | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed RIZON | 35c | 92.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RIZON | 18c | 92.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed RIZON | 20c | 71.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 190 | 40%76 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 80c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 75c | 37.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed RIZON | 34c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 80c | 25.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 74c | 22.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 64c | 20.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…38bfbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: RIZON vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stagethis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: RIZON vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 1 WinnerEintracht Frankfurt won
- Valorant: RIZON vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 WinnerEintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.