Tennis · resolved market
Cordoba: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaf6beed144685ae23067f628fe787c34913c894b571326c43f0b4f255f4b74b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guido Justoof Guido Justo, Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 6c | 15,084$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.7 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 7c | 1,775$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Guido Justo | 66c | 1,423$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.54 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Guido Justo | 72c | 1,286$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.69 | 4,784 | 49.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L | +177.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Guido Justo | 73c | 1,147$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.94 | 1,837 | 46.5%855 W · 982 L | +20.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 10c | 750.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 574 | 27.5%158 W · 416 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Guido Justo | 56c | 573.47$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.33 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Guido Justo | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Guido Justo | 68c | 493.18$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.79 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 32c | 473.31$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.38 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Guido Justo | 56c | 457$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.08 | 4,992 | 38.6%1,927 W · 3,065 L | -19.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 35c | 437.91$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.27 | 6,550 | 54.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L | +287.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 13c | 337.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…dc20backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Guido Justo | 74c | 264.12$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 4,626 | 67.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L | +310.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Guido Justo | 51c | 262.62$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.62 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 13c | 252.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Guido Justo | 50c | 237.78$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.78 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 14c | 202.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 16c | 188.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 385 | 22.3%86 W · 299 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Guido Justo | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 215 | 60.5%130 W · 85 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 8c | 163.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 17c | 136.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 32c | 131.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 1,257 | 52%654 W · 603 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 20c | 112$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 3,749 | 42.5%1,594 W · 2,155 L | -44.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 35c | 107.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Guido Justo | 70c | 106$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 43c | 93.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Guido Justo | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 252 | 57.9%146 W · 106 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 57c | 90.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 1,223 | 54.9%672 W · 551 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Guido Justo | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 46c | 64.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Guido Justo | 74c | 63.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 45c | 62.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 7,129 | 39.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L | -14.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 40c | 60.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,472 | 45%662 W · 810 L | +42.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Guido Justo | 57c | 55.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Guido Justo | 68c | 55.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 6,867 | 48.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L | +61.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…762abacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 26c | 54.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Guido Justo | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 45c | 49.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 44c | 49.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…5104backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 41c | 48.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 45c | 46.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 36c | 46.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Guido Justo | 61c | 44.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Guido Justo | 78c | 44.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c6…737abacked Guido Justo | 75c | 41.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -25.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9124…7a4dbacked Guido Justo | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 34c | 39.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Guido Justo | 71c | 38.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 5,455 | 56.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L | +234.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Guido Justo | 56c | 37.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 47c | 37.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 40c | 37.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…6761backed Guido Justo | 57c | 35.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bc…9d49backed Guido Justo | 68c | 29.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 52c | 29.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Guido Justo | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Guido Justo | 72c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Guido Justo | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Guido Justo | 75c | 23.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Guido Justo | 78c | 19.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 2,101 | 54.2%1,139 W · 962 L | +65.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Guido Justo | 69c | 16.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.