Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Flame Team vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbb8c8d0d3b0544cb42dee0a0ff963978dc429f53c69138a06251729bb8e9e6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof Flame Team, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Spirit Academy | 45c | 5,000$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.47 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 3,915$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.22 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Spirit Academy | 17c | 3,386$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.74 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Spirit Academy | 16c | 3,159$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.09 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flame Team | 70c | 1,661$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.39 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Spirit Academy | 36c | 1,270$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.79 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Spirit Academy | 35c | 1,220$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.75 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Flame Team | 61c | 1,031$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.4 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Flame Team | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Flame Team | 55c | 990.91$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Flame Team | 58c | 964.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.68 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Flame Team | 69c | 953.25$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.27 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Flame Team | 55c | 722$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Flame Team | 55c | 663.76$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.07 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Spirit Academy | 38c | 599.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.94 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Spirit Academy | 14c | 559.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.28 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Spirit Academy | 38c | 536.32$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.32 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Spirit Academy | 38c | 532.83$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.83 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x245d…3b90backed Spirit Academy | 49c | 476$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.09 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Flame Team | 58c | 470.72$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.98 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Flame Team | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Flame Team | 74c | 451.3$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.19 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Spirit Academy | 35c | 334.06$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.52 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Flame Team | 55c | 319.32$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.63 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Flame Team | 64c | 313.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed Flame Team | 64c | 304.84$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Flame Team | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…aa80backed Flame Team | 54c | 281.53$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Flame Team | 52c | 276.3$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.51 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Flame Team | 55c | 235.05$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Flame Team | 48c | 235$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Flame Team | 75c | 221.38$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.42 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Flame Team | 68c | 197.73$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Spirit Academy | 45c | 187.86$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.86 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed Flame Team | 64c | 177.72$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.74 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Spirit Academy | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Spirit Academy | 64c | 155.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Flame Team | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Flame Team | 70c | 142$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Flame Team | 75c | 140$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Flame Team | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Flame Team | 73c | 136.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…b3a8backed Flame Team | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Flame Team | 55c | 119.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Spirit Academy | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Flame Team | 71c | 105.34$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked Spirit Academy | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Flame Team | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Flame Team | 53c | 91.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…69f1backed Flame Team | 75c | 91.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Flame Team | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Flame Team | 64c | 84.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Flame Team | 77c | 70$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Flame Team | 52c | 67.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Spirit Academy | 22c | 66.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9901backed Spirit Academy | 66c | 60.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Flame Team | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Spirit Academy | 23c | 56.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…ad7cbacked Spirit Academy | 24c | 50.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Flame Team | 61c | 47.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Flame Team | 68c | 46.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Flame Team | 61c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Flame Team | 61c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Spirit Academy | 39c | 45.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…e6c6backed Spirit Academy | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Flame Team | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Flame Team | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed Flame Team | 61c | 32.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Flame Team | 69c | 28.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…a28dbacked Flame Team | 78c | 27.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0714…e504backed Spirit Academy | 41c | 26.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Flame Team | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbf…d227backed Flame Team | 66c | 25.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5319…d626backed Flame Team | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Flame Team | 61c | 24.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Spirit Academy | 55c | 23.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Flame Team | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Flame Team | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Flame Team | 67c | 19.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Flame Team | 73c | 16.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Flame Team vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Flame Team vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Group BSpirit Academy won
- Dota 2: Flame Team vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.