WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc757279690dcaebdabbb57a1d3a60f9c5c20d1f386e1baf4c58882dd2db3089
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 8,681$4,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300.13 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 7,075$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,444.88 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 53c | 3,501$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.42 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 3,216$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.8 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 50c | 3,044$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.83 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 1,094$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.23 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 549$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.06 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 284.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.64 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 47c | 55.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…b574backed Over | 54c | 46.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 42.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Under | 47c | 35.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 50c | 35.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…427abacked Under | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 46c | 29.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 54c | 28.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 47c | 27.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 61c | 16.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 169.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-3.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-4.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-5.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.