WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x901940fd7f79561f853efad255acea74b3852ded39e2714b4f7240415dc0331c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Toronto Tempo, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x481d…9098backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 3,319$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -64%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Toronto Tempo | 53c | 2,990$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.15 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 2,548$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.53 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Toronto Tempo | 55c | 2,531$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.26 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 855.38$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 851.04$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 660.05$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.28 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 575.25$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.82 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 536.02$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.01 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 523.67$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 483$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.18 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…df45backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 386.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Toronto Tempo | 54c | 331.15$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 189.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 163$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 150.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 118.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 114.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 114$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Toronto Tempo | 56c | 83.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 63.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Seattle Storm | 59c | 57.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 56.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 53.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 43.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 41.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…af3cbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Toronto Tempo | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 22.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-5.5)this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 169.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-3.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-4.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.