WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 170.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92fc04d3e4304a5d4cac4e0f81ec2fbb7ab7113e51d01c199d6ac44fadbd88c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Over | 52c | 8,908$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 8,470$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,369.55 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 3,232$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.16 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Over | 51c | 2,849$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Over | 49c | 2,568$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 50c | 2,501$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.42 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 50c | 2,480$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.82 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 2,374$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.89 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Over | 51c | 1,846$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.91 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,123$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.78 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 52c | 512$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.24 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 48c | 320$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Over | 40c | 158.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 9c | 150.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 50c | 140.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 59c | 135.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 49c | 96.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 92.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 51c | 58.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 50c | 45.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 69c | 26.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 80c | 19.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 170.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-3.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-4.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-5.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.