WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e72dc88b08edffd369daa3cbde20ec2cc3ef13bdd59d13fb6ba4acee6b6019b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 67c | 5,244$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 33c | 3,119$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.09 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 1,324$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.36 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 35c | 1,065$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.16 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 1,053$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.57 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 34c | 673.1$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.25 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 48c | 664.25$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.49 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 48c | 656.25$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.25 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 49c | 642.86$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.86 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 53c | 577.07$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.85 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 47c | 564$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.92 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 20c | 479$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 48c | 235.42$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 44c | 149.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 48c | 141.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Under | 32c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 36c | 120$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 92.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Under | 64c | 77.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 66.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 20c | 61.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 36c | 61.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 47.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…2147backed Over | 63c | 47.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 46c | 46.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…b574backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 36c | 35.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 42c | 30.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Under | 75c | 29.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 41c | 29.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 67c | 24.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 52c | 20.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30a…7fc3backed Under | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 169.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-3.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-4.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-5.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.