Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on March 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfca0385542197aec984768ded2b2827f8e394451c2b2cd2e0f9edea3f2255b9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,744 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ec0…ae7dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 10c | 1,808$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.5 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 8c | 691.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0967…be0cbacked Yes | 11c | 660.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…9b56backed Yes | 4c | 308.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…0a0bbacked Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.89 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 35c | 296.26$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 261.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…9352backed Yes | 12c | 252.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…4105backed Yes | 19c | 185.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 337 | 26.4%89 W · 248 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed No | 65c | 172.16$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 60c | 160.87$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 66c | 159.45$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 9c | 147.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 20c | 138.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 42c | 135.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 467 | 33.4%156 W · 311 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 15c | 133.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 66c | 132.36$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 12c | 124.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 9c | 120$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 25c | 113.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516c…8bb5backed No | 58c | 107.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 33c | 101.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 31c | 100.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd26…5b5cbacked Yes | 42c | 98.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…2fadbacked Yes | 35c | 97.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 120 | 68.3%82 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed No | 58c | 89.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 74c | 86.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 33c | 84.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…7ce8backed No | 60c | 83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…73a4backed No | 62c | 82.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 32c | 79.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…8622backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 35c | 76.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…977abacked Yes | 15c | 74.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 46c | 68.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 30c | 67.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 72c | 66.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 27c | 64.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 73c | 63.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df8…4005backed Yes | 32c | 61.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 73c | 61.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 28c | 61.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8322…b5fbbacked Yes | 40c | 61.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Yes | 28c | 60.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 135 | 23%31 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 27c | 60.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b9…3377backed No | 70c | 57.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…6a43backed Yes | 35c | 56.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 33c | 56.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 66c | 54.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…32b5backed Yes | 48c | 50.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…310cbacked Yes | 29c | 48.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41a…0fd7backed Yes | 39c | 45.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d45…020fbacked Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 65c | 41.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 27c | 40.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…881ebacked Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…476ebacked Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 27c | 39.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 39.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba5…a2d6backed No | 72c | 38.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9145…544cbacked Yes | 29c | 38.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…a6c1backed Yes | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5f…867dbacked Yes | 38c | 35.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…8a41backed Yes | 33c | 35.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5580…8029backed Yes | 40c | 34.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 75c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a84…e23abacked Yes | 36c | 32.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…e8fabacked No | 59c | 32.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…e7acbacked Yes | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…bf5cbacked No | 66c | 30.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…2aa9backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e1…4682backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…107ebacked No | 66c | 29.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 261 | 69.3%181 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedb…5e54backed No | 71c | 26.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…fc2fbacked No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…dd14backed No | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…b47fbacked No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…000abacked No | 73c | 20.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0e6ebacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…bb68backed No | 70c | 18.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…7935backed No | 68c | 16.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d0…a837backed No | 69c | 14.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 69c | 14.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on March 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 55°F or below on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on March 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on March 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on March 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.