Tennis · resolved market

Cherbourg: Martin Krumich vs Murphy Cassone

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd41a51095ca1e9ea033ed1ddf016027799646ec35d887564292dbe62635d8da

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Murphy Cassoneof Martin Krumich, Murphy Cassone
Resolved: Mar 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $55,888

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,888 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84dc…008ebacked Martin Krumich	11c	5,229$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.21	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Martin Krumich	40c	2,976$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,180.26	439	51.9%228 W · 211 L	+17.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Martin Krumich	10c	2,808$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.81	2,865	44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Martin Krumich	17c	2,140$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.41	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Murphy Cassone	64c	2,031$1,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736.45	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Murphy Cassone	71c	2,010$1,424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585.61	3,072	44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L	-30.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Martin Krumich	36c	1,200$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436	3,871	35%1,353 W · 2,518 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Murphy Cassone	65c	1,076$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376	1,186	62.8%745 W · 441 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Martin Krumich	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	353	44.8%158 W · 195 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Martin Krumich	38c	901.25$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.6	1,265	29.2%370 W · 895 L	-13.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Martin Krumich	7c	898.3$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.37	1,379	16.4%226 W · 1,153 L	-108.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cee…3f91backed Martin Krumich	13c	719.21$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	98	24.5%24 W · 74 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Martin Krumich	14c	665.07$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	1,130	27.9%315 W · 815 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Martin Krumich	36c	581.71$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.41	145	40.7%59 W · 86 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Murphy Cassone	62c	570.31$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.18	810	47.9%388 W · 422 L	+30.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8d3…acf8backed Martin Krumich	39c	512.39$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	120	30%36 W · 84 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Martin Krumich	36c	477.26$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.9	223	37.7%84 W · 139 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed Martin Krumich	13c	461.54$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	118	32.2%38 W · 80 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Murphy Cassone	62c	410.21$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.54	430	42.8%184 W · 246 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Martin Krumich	30c	392.64$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.44	4,288	40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L	-139.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Murphy Cassone	72c	347.78$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.78	503	64.6%325 W · 178 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Martin Krumich	37c	339$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.43	200	43.5%87 W · 113 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Murphy Cassone	63c	315.02$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.02	123	60.2%74 W · 49 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Martin Krumich	37c	270.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,768	43.2%764 W · 1,004 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Murphy Cassone	61c	267.01$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.29	2,065	35.2%727 W · 1,338 L	-52.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5b…6c2abacked Martin Krumich	35c	257.6$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.09	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Martin Krumich	38c	242.89$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.16	1,882	35.5%669 W · 1,213 L	+26.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Murphy Cassone	60c	242$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.03	7,724	47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L	+41.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Martin Krumich	13c	241$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.33	242	44.6%108 W · 134 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Murphy Cassone	64c	234.03$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.03	239	65.3%156 W · 83 L	+11.5wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Murphy Cassone	63c	223.82$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.82	1,615	50.6%817 W · 798 L	-17.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Martin Krumich	37c	172.74$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.91	407	44%179 W · 228 L	-14.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Murphy Cassone	62c	160$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.8	1,076	55.5%597 W · 479 L	+8.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Murphy Cassone	62c	149.63$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.86	664	52.3%347 W · 317 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Martin Krumich	36c	134.01$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.24	350	40.9%143 W · 207 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Murphy Cassone	60c	133.44$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.33	1,809	43.8%793 W · 1,016 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5661…6323backed Murphy Cassone	63c	132.06$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.22	102	67.6%69 W · 33 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Martin Krumich	32c	129$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.85	1,870	16%299 W · 1,571 L	-314.3wins	-0.17per pick	33cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	32-0.17 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Martin Krumich	13c	106.69$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.87	307	41.7%128 W · 179 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Murphy Cassone	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.33	779	67.8%528 W · 251 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	69cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Murphy Cassone	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	412	72.8%300 W · 112 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	71cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Martin Krumich	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	108	22.2%24 W · 84 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Murphy Cassone	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	328	37.5%123 W · 205 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Martin Krumich	16c	97$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Murphy Cassone	66c	80.23$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.58	2,537	53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L	+61.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4597…1bd7backed Murphy Cassone	65c	77.43$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.43	109	67.9%74 W · 35 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	61cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x449e…4f8ebacked Murphy Cassone	62c	65$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.7	135	56.3%76 W · 59 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Martin Krumich	37c	59$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.83	182	33.5%61 W · 121 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Martin Krumich	37c	59$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.88	544	34.2%186 W · 358 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Martin Krumich	39c	51.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	819	33.1%271 W · 548 L	-30.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Murphy Cassone	62c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	245	63.3%155 W · 90 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc59f…f632backed Murphy Cassone	63c	49.43$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.29	83	61.4%51 W · 32 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Murphy Cassone	61c	49$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.11	602	40.5%244 W · 358 L	-12.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Martin Krumich	39c	46.4$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.1	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad3c…41d6backed Murphy Cassone	61c	32.79$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.79	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x277c…e529backed Martin Krumich	36c	27.78$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ea…2aacbacked Murphy Cassone	63c	23.81$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.81	72	61.1%44 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Murphy Cassone	60c	20.79$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.32	153	53.6%82 W · 71 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Murphy Cassone	64c	18.75$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.75	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Murphy Cassone	60c	16.8$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.72	355	59.4%211 W · 144 L	-10.8wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cherbourg: Martin Krumich vs Murphy Cassonethis page
Krumich vs. Cassone: Match O/U 22.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cherbourg: Martin Krumich vs Murphy Cassone

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event