Tennis · resolved market
San Marino: Jacopo Vasami vs Juan Pablo Varillas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdd0389422112b84fa54d40502d055f3267767576c7152b8ac6008718aef3258
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Pablo Varillasof Jacopo Vasami, Juan Pablo Varillas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 42c | 2,706$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.41 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jacopo Vasami | 43c | 2,676$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.48 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Jacopo Vasami | 27c | 1,525$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.78 | 251 | 39.4%99 W · 152 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 66c | 1,521$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.07 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jacopo Vasami | 44c | 1,432$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.06 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 45c | 1,298$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.79 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jacopo Vasami | 22c | 1,297$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.05 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 78c | 1,284$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.57 | 949 | 68.1%646 W · 303 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 44c | 1,070$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.62 | 307 | 39.1%120 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Jacopo Vasami | 6c | 772.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 80c | 760.58$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.52 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Jacopo Vasami | 13c | 644.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 76c | 607.42$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.79 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jacopo Vasami | 55c | 524$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.12 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jacopo Vasami | 43c | 446.81$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jacopo Vasami | 53c | 290.77$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.73 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…d00fbacked Jacopo Vasami | 14c | 286.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 79c | 231$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Jacopo Vasami | 15c | 203.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Jacopo Vasami | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Jacopo Vasami | 39c | 196.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…f052backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 43c | 169.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Jacopo Vasami | 55c | 167.84$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…4944backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 73c | 136.05$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 164 | 69.5%114 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 53c | 128$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jacopo Vasami | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Jacopo Vasami | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Jacopo Vasami | 35c | 76.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 66c | 71.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Jacopo Vasami | 33c | 71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Jacopo Vasami | 42c | 61.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…6929backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 64c | 60.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Jacopo Vasami | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 372 | 47.3%176 W · 196 L | -17.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…3b16backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 44c | 39.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Jacopo Vasami | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Jacopo Vasami | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Jacopo Vasami | 41c | 28.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Jacopo Vasami | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Jacopo Vasami | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.