Lol · resolved market
MSI Play-in: G2 vs. GAM
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfde922bb88a5a957b4a2b23e998838cfa3474eb2bbe250b55b55b73340f59e1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, GAM
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked GAM | 30c | 29,058$8,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,851.41 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked G2 | 72c | 25,394$18,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,218.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c2…66a8backed GAM | 42c | 21,270$8,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,854 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed G2 | 72c | 9,292$6,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.55 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GAM | 28c | 6,952$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.32 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed GAM | 41c | 6,102$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.73 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed GAM | 28c | 3,619$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked GAM | 29c | 3,456$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.24 | 114 | 34.2%39 W · 75 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed GAM | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed G2 | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked GAM | 41c | 2,705$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked GAM | 28c | 1,895$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.9 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed G2 | 63c | 1,841$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.45 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked G2 | 72c | 1,550$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.93 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dd…c9efbacked G2 | 70c | 1,512$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed G2 | 72c | 1,511$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa156…8805backed GAM | 42c | 1,374$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed GAM | 28c | 1,271$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed G2 | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed GAM | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked GAM | 29c | 1,103$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…4708backed GAM | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed GAM | 38c | 962.21$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.06 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked G2 | 68c | 917.33$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.55 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked G2 | 58c | 837.62$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.6 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed GAM | 36c | 771.94$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.3 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed GAM | 18c | 578.89$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked GAM | 24c | 480.37$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed GAM | 11c | 430$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed G2 | 57c | 399.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…d8bcbacked G2 | 73c | 328.77$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea59…3b63backed GAM | 33c | 307.62$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc8…e126backed G2 | 66c | 305.47$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed G2 | 66c | 289.29$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed GAM | 29c | 287.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked G2 | 72c | 277.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd175…bb3abacked G2 | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked G2 | 70c | 222$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed GAM | 22c | 221.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…d707backed G2 | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…4a87backed GAM | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed GAM | 30c | 199.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed GAM | 29c | 175$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed GAM | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked G2 | 60c | 166.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed GAM | 13c | 154.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…186ebacked GAM | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225c…40dcbacked G2 | 66c | 125.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…1526backed GAM | 21c | 102.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed G2 | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed GAM | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…d3d6backed GAM | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed G2 | 60c | 88.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed GAM | 39c | 77.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7671…0d2fbacked G2 | 72c | 75.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed G2 | 72c | 75.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…3ea6backed GAM | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2e…3bc1backed G2 | 79c | 51.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked GAM | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…0068backed GAM | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked GAM | 29c | 49.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 111 | 27.9%31 W · 80 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked G2 | 78c | 49.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…496abacked G2 | 67c | 48.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…c90ebacked GAM | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cda…08dbbacked G2 | 75c | 36.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…a95bbacked G2 | 72c | 35.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked GAM | 30c | 34.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…47f1backed G2 | 75c | 24.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce81…0f99backed G2 | 65c | 16.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed G2 | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…6442backed G2 | 75c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.