Fifa International · resolved market
Will Philippines win on 2026-06-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe4286c3c7cb2bbeaed8ae907ada726a17ebf9dbc613d8cd477f39ba467c8851
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 8c | 3,105$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.42 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 6c | 2,207$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.47 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked No | 9c | 1,111$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 7c | 939.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 8c | 894.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 10c | 670.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 6c | 659.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 6c | 584.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 8c | 540$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 7c | 511.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 14c | 475$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 9c | 470$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…c243backed No | 12c | 458.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 7c | 399.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked No | 8c | 337$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 7c | 294.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 7c | 232.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 16c | 207$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 10c | 199.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 7c | 196$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 12c | 166.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 11c | 143$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 8c | 125.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Philippines win on 2026-06-03?this page
- Will Guam win on 2026-06-03?No won
- Will Philippines vs. Guam end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.